Saburtalo v Meshakhte: the model read
Saburtalo meet Meshakhte in the Erovnuli Liga regular season - 19 at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi. The model makes Saburtalo the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% SAB, 27% draw, 21% MES.
Saburtalo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Saburtalo, 63% against 28%. Attacking output favors Saburtalo on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Saburtalo at 70%; double chance reads Saburtalo or draw 79%, Meshakhte or draw 49%.
Saburtalo arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Margveti 2006, L 0-2 v Slovan Bratislava, D 2-2 v Flora Tallinn, W 3-2 @ Flora Tallinn.
Meshakhte are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Gonio, L 2-4 v FC Urartu, L 1-2 @ Saburtalo, D 1-1 v Gagra.
Saburtalo hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Saburtalo 2-1 Meshakhte.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
