Where the market is wrong on Odishi 1919 v Sioni
Odishi 1919 meet Sioni in the Erovnuli Liga 2 regular season - 22.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 40%. Attacking output favors Odishi 1919 on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Odishi 1919 at 50%; double chance reads Odishi 1919 or draw 66%, Sioni or draw 66%.
Odishi 1919 arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Sioni, D 0-0 @ Merani Martvili, W 2-1 v Kolkheti Poti, L 1-4 @ Torpedo Kutaisi.
Sioni are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Odishi 1919, L 0-1 v Shturmi, L 1-4 @ Gori, L 0-1 @ Gori.
The market prices ODI at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Sioni: a 7.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
