Gimnasia Y Tiro v Patronato: the model read
Gimnasia Y Tiro meet Patronato in the Primera Nacional regular season - 20 at Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 30% GIM, 38% draw, 32% PAT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 43%. Attacking output favors Gimnasia Y Tiro on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 15%, over 2.5 goals around 8%. Draw no bet leans Patronato at 51%; double chance reads Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw 68%, Patronato or draw 70%.
Gimnasia Y Tiro arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Maipu, D 1-1 v Patronato, W 2-1 @ Colegiales, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Maipu.
Patronato are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Midland, D 1-1 @ Gimnasia Y Tiro, L 0-1 v San Martin Tucuman, D 1-1 v Midland.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
