Where the market is wrong on IK brage v Landskrona BoIS
IK brage meet Landskrona BoIS in the Superettan regular season - 17 at Domnarvsvallen, Borlange. The model makes Landskrona BoIS the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 34% IK , 29% draw, 37% LAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1483 to 1541, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Landskrona BoIS, 55% against 47%. Attacking output favors IK brage on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Landskrona BoIS at 52%; double chance reads IK brage or draw 63%, Landskrona BoIS or draw 66%.
IK brage arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ IFK Varnamo, L 2-3 @ Osters IF, L 2-4 v Falkenbergs FF, W 5-1 v IFK Varnamo.
Landskrona BoIS are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Ostersunds FK, W 2-1 @ Falkenbergs FF, W 1-0 v IFK Varnamo, W 3-2 @ Varbergs BoIS FC.
IK brage hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Landskrona BoIS 2-2 IK brage.
The market prices IK at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
