Where the market is wrong on Lyn II v Sarpsborg 08 II
Lyn II meet Sarpsborg 08 II in the 3. Division - Girone 6 regular season - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sarpsborg 08 II on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.4 per match.
Lyn II arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Sarpsborg 08 II, L 0-2 @ Gjøvik-Lyn, L 1-4 @ Drøbak / Frogn, W 4-3 v Sandefjord II.
Sarpsborg 08 II are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 15 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Gjøvik-Lyn, D 2-2 @ Lyn II, W 3-1 v Lillehammer, W 4-3 @ Ørn Horten.
Sarpsborg 08 II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lyn II 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 II.
The market prices LYN at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Sarpsborg 08 II: a 15.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output