Where the market is wrong on Lillehammer v Lyn II
Lillehammer meet Lyn II in the 3. Division - Girone 6 regular season - 16.
Lillehammer rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1541. Recent form leans Lillehammer, 80% against 53%. Attacking output favors Lillehammer on expected goals, 3.5 to 2.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 90%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans Lillehammer at 60%; double chance reads Lillehammer or draw 70%, Lyn II or draw 55%.
Lillehammer arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Strommen, W 4-1 v Lyn II, W 2-0 @ Gjøvik-Lyn, W 2-1 v Drøbak / Frogn.
Lyn II are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 21 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Lillehammer, W 4-3 v Fram, W 9-1 @ Brumunddal, D 2-2 v Oppsal.
Lillehammer hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lillehammer 4-1 Lyn II.
The market prices LIL at 79% implied. Our number sits apart on Lyn II: a 21.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
