Where the market is wrong on Madla v Odd II
Madla meet Odd II in the 3. Division - Girone 4 regular season - 17.
Madla rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1408. Recent form leans Madla, 75% against 35%. Attacking output favors Madla on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.6 per match.
Madla arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Odd II, W 3-2 v Vidar, D 1-1 @ Viking II, W 4-3 v Vindbjart.
Odd II are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Madla, W 3-2 v Hinna, L 1-2 v Staal Jørpeland, L 1-2 @ Vindbjart.
The market prices MAD at 69% implied. Our number sits apart on Odd II: a 10.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
