Lyn v Sogndal

Lyn meet Sogndal in the 1. Division regular season - 16 at Bislett Stadium, Oslo. The model makes Sogndal the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 31% LYN, 27% draw, 42% SOG.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sogndal, 43% against 33%. Attacking output favors Sogndal on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 81%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Sogndal at 58%; double chance reads Lyn or draw 58%, Sogndal or draw 69%.

Lyn arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Stromsgodset, W 6-2 v Asane, L 1-4 v hodd, L 2-3 @ Ranheim.

Sogndal are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 11 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Ranheim, L 1-5 @ Kongsvinger, W 4-2 v Egersund, L 1-3 @ Raufoss.

Lyn hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sogndal 0-3 Lyn.

The market prices LYN at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Sogndal: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.