Where the market is wrong on Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF meet Valerenga in the Eliteserien regular season - 20 at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors Valerenga on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.
Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Tromso, W 2-0 @ Sparta Sarpsborg, L 1-2 v Sandefjord, L 1-2 @ Viking.
Valerenga are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 16 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v Molde, W 7-2 @ Christiania BK, D 5-5 @ Aalesund, L 1-2 v Bodo/Glimt.
Valerenga hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Valerenga 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
The market prices SAR at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Valerenga: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
