Where the market is wrong on IF Brommapojkarna v IF Elfsborg
IF Brommapojkarna meet IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan regular season - 20 at Grimsta IP, Stockholm.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans IF Elfsborg, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors IF Elfsborg on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
IF Brommapojkarna arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Gais, L 1-2 @ Falu BS, W 2-0 v Degerfors IF, W 3-1 v Orgryte IS.
IF Elfsborg are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 11 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Degerfors IF, D 1-1 @ IFK Goteborg, W 4-0 @ Västra Frölunda, W 3-0 v Vasteras SK FK.
The market prices IF at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
