Where the market is wrong on Djurgardens IF v Mjallby AIF
Djurgardens IF meet Mjallby AIF in the Allsvenskan regular season - 19 at 3Arena, Stockholm.
Djurgardens IF rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Djurgardens IF, 63% against 28%. Attacking output favors Djurgardens IF on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.2 per match.
Djurgardens IF arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Mjallby AIF, W 3-0 @ Malmo FF, L 1-3 v AIK Stockholm, L 0-1 @ Vasteras SK FK.
Mjallby AIF are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Djurgardens IF, L 0-3 @ Red Bull Salzburg, L 0-1 v Red Bull Salzburg, W 4-3 v Sirius.
The market prices DJU at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
