Spokane Velocity v Fort Wayne

Spokane Velocity meet Fort Wayne in the USL League One group stage at One Spokane Stadium, undefined. The model makes Spokane Velocity the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% SPO, 30% draw, 34% FOR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Spokane Velocity, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Fort Wayne on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Spokane Velocity at 51%; double chance reads Spokane Velocity or draw 66%, Fort Wayne or draw 64%.

Spokane Velocity arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Fort Wayne, W 3-0 v Charlotte Independence, W 2-0 @ Richmond Kickers, W 3-1 @ Oakland Roots.

Fort Wayne are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Spokane Velocity, W 3-0 v Greenville Triumph, L 1-2 @ One Knoxville, L 1-2 v Detroit City.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spokane Velocity 3-1 Fort Wayne.

The market prices SPO at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Fort Wayne: a 9.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.