Where the market is wrong on Estudiantes L.P. v Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P. meet Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 7 at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La Plata.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Estudiantes L.P., 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Estudiantes L.P. on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Estudiantes L.P. arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Newells Old Boys, W 3-1 v Barracas Central, L 0-2 @ Sarmiento Junin, W 3-0 @ U. Catolica.
Newells Old Boys are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Estudiantes L.P., W 2-1 v Banfield, W 2-0 v Deportivo Riestra, L 1-2 @ Defensa Y Justicia.
Estudiantes L.P. hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 Newells Old Boys.
The market prices EST at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Newells Old Boys: a 8.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
