Shelbourne v Dundalk: the model read
Shelbourne meet Dundalk in the Premier Division regular season - 23 at Tolka Park, Dublin. The model makes Dundalk the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% SHE, 29% draw, 36% DUN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors Shelbourne on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Dundalk at 51%; double chance reads Shelbourne or draw 64%, Dundalk or draw 65%.
Shelbourne arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Kalju Nomme, D 2-2 @ Kerry, D 1-1 v Celtic, W 2-1 v Dundalk.
Dundalk are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ St Patrick's Athl., W 3-1 @ St Mochta's, L 1-2 v Drogheda United, L 1-2 @ Shelbourne.
Shelbourne hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shelbourne 2-1 Dundalk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
