New York City FC v New York Red Bulls: the model read
New York City FC meet New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer regular season - 26 at Yankee Stadium, New York.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 40%. Attacking output favors New York Red Bulls on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
New York City FC arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Toronto FC, D 1-1 @ New England Revolution, L 1-2 @ FC Cincinnati, L 2-3 v Philadelphia Union.
New York Red Bulls are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Philadelphia Union, D 1-1 v Chicago Fire, L 0-1 v Nashville SC, L 1-2 @ Atlanta United FC.
New York City FC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: New York Red Bulls 1-1 New York City FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
