Holstein Kiel v VfB Stuttgart: the model read
Holstein Kiel meet VfB Stuttgart in the DFB Pokal quarter-finals at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. The model makes VfB Stuttgart the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 28% HOL, 27% draw, 46% VFB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans VfB Stuttgart, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors VfB Stuttgart on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans VfB Stuttgart at 62%; double chance reads Holstein Kiel or draw 54%, VfB Stuttgart or draw 72%.
Holstein Kiel arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Swansea, W 4-1 v Al-Ahli Jeddah, W 2-1 v Sonderjyske, L 1-3 v FC Fredericia.
VfB Stuttgart are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Balingen, L 0-3 @ Bayern München, D 2-2 @ Eintracht Frankfurt, W 3-1 v Bayer Leverkusen.
VfB Stuttgart hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Holstein Kiel 0-3 VfB Stuttgart.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
