Lusitano Évora 1911 v Fafe: the model read
Lusitano Évora 1911 meet Fafe in the Taça de Portugal round of 16 at Campo Estrela, Evora. The model makes Fafe the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 30% LUS, 33% draw, 37% FAF.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Fafe on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Fafe at 55%; double chance reads Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw 63%, Fafe or draw 70%.
Lusitano Évora 1911 arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Benfica B, L 0-1 v Atlético CP, W 2-1 @ Amora, W 1-0 v SC Covilha.
Fafe are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Sanjoanense, L 1-4 @ Chaves, W 3-0 @ Vizela, D 0-0 @ SC Braga B.
Fafe hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Fafe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
