Sweden W v France W: the model read
Sweden W meet France W in the UEFA Nations League - Women 3rd place at 3Arena, Stockholm. The model makes France W the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 27% SWE, 29% draw, 45% FRA.
France W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1546. Recent form leans France W, 80% against 57%. Attacking output favors France W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans France W at 63%; double chance reads Sweden W or draw 55%, France W or draw 73%.
Sweden W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Italy W, L 1-2 @ Denmark W, W 1-0 v Serbia W, L 1-2 v Denmark W.
France W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Republic of Ireland W, W 2-0 @ Poland W, D 1-1 v Netherlands W, L 1-2 @ Netherlands W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
