Novalja v Pomorac: the model read
Novalja meet Pomorac in the Third NL - Istok west - 14 at Igralište Cissa-Straško, Novalja. The model makes Pomorac the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 25% NOV, 29% draw, 46% POM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pomorac, 58% against 39%. Attacking output favors Pomorac on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Pomorac at 65%; double chance reads Novalja or draw 54%, Pomorac or draw 75%.
Novalja arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ OŠK Omišalj, L 0-4 @ Banjole, L 0-2 v Buje, D 2-2 @ Lokomotiva R.
Pomorac are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Pazinka, D 0-0 v Naprijed Hreljin, L 0-1 @ Vinodol, W 2-1 v Banjole.
Pomorac hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Pomorac 2-1 Novalja.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output