Pill AFC v Treowen Stars: the model read
Pill AFC meet Treowen Stars in the Welsh Cup round of 128 at Pill Park, Newport. The model makes Treowen Stars the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 32% PIL, 27% draw, 41% TRE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1584 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Treowen Stars on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 85%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Treowen Stars at 56%; double chance reads Pill AFC or draw 59%, Treowen Stars or draw 68%.
Pill AFC arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ llanelli AFC, W 3-2 @ Monmouth Town, W 1-0 @ Chepstow Town, L 0-7 @ Chepstow Town.
Treowen Stars are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Carmarthen Town, L 0-6 @ Trefelin, L 1-5 v Ammanford AFC, L 0-1 v Afan Lido.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output