Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix: the model read
Melbourne City meet Wellington Phoenix in the A-League regular season - 24 at AAMI Park, Melbourne.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Wellington Phoenix on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Melbourne City arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Lions, L 0-2 v Palermo, W 3-0 @ Weston Bears, D 1-1 @ Auckland.
Wellington Phoenix are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Macarthur, W 2-1 v Western Sydney Wanderers, L 0-2 @ Melbourne City, W 1-0 @ Melbourne Victory.
Melbourne City hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Melbourne City 2-0 Wellington Phoenix.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
