Turkmenistan v Oman: the model read
Turkmenistan meet Oman in the CAFA Nations Cup group stage - 3 at Stadion Majmuasi, Toshkent (Tashkent). The model makes Oman the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 28% TUR, 32% draw, 41% OMA.
Oman rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1528 to 1400. Recent form leans Oman, 55% against 32%. Attacking output favors Oman on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Oman at 60%; double chance reads Turkmenistan or draw 59%, Oman or draw 72%.
Turkmenistan arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Thailand, W 3-1 v Chinese Taipei, W 2-1 v Sri Lanka, L 0-1 @ Sri Lanka.
Oman are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Mozambique, L 0-3 @ Indonesia, W 2-1 v Comoros, D 0-0 v Morocco.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
