Haiti Haiti v Costa Rica: the model read
Haiti meet Costa Rica in the World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF final round - 5 at Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Costa Rica, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Costa Rica on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Haiti arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Morocco, L 0-3 @ Brazil, L 0-1 v Scotland, L 1-2 v Peru.
Costa Rica are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ England, L 1-3 @ Colombia, L 0-5 v Iran, D 2-2 @ Jordan.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Haiti 1-0 Costa Rica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
