Colima v Leones Negros: the model read
Colima meet Leones Negros in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 17 at Estadio Olímpico Universitario de Colima, Colima. The model makes Leones Negros the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 23% COL, 27% draw, 50% LEO.
Leones Negros rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Leones Negros, 60% against 23%. Attacking output favors Leones Negros on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Leones Negros at 69%; double chance reads Colima or draw 50%, Leones Negros or draw 77%.
Colima arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Tecos, W 3-1 @ Acatlan, L 0-2 @ Guerreros, D 0-0 v Mineros de Fresnillo.
Leones Negros are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Celaya, L 0-5 @ Celaya, W 1-0 v Tritons Vallarta, W 2-0 @ Tecos.
Leones Negros hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colima 0-2 Leones Negros.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output