Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli Jeddah: the model read
Al-Nassr meet Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Super Cup final at Hong Kong Stadium, Hong Kong.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors Al-Nassr on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
Al-Nassr arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Al Ain, D 1-1 @ Al Khaleej Saihat, W 2-1 v Abha, L 1-2 @ Al-Ittihad FC.
Al-Ahli Jeddah are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Mamelodi Sundowns, D 1-1 v Pakhtakor, W 3-1 v Al-Hazm, L 2-3 @ Al-Qadisiyah FC.
Al-Nassr hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
