Lyon Duchere v Montpellier II: the model read
Lyon Duchere meet Montpellier II in the National 3 - Group H group h - 26 at Stade de Balmont, Lyon. The model makes Lyon Duchere the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% LYO, 26% draw, 24% MON.
Lyon Duchere rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1500. Recent form leans Lyon Duchere, 66% against 48%. Attacking output favors Lyon Duchere on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Lyon Duchere at 68%; double chance reads Lyon Duchere or draw 76%, Montpellier II or draw 49%.
Lyon Duchere arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 19 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Montpellier II, W 4-2 @ Olympique Lyonnais II, L 2-3 v Fos, W 4-2 @ ASPTT Dijon.
Montpellier II are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Lyon Duchere, L 0-3 v Olympique d'Alès, L 0-2 @ Olympique Marseille II, L 1-4 @ Olympique Lyonnais II.
Lyon Duchere hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lyon Duchere 3-0 Montpellier II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
