La Roche VF v Saumur: the model read
La Roche VF meet Saumur in the National 2 - Group A group a - 24 at Stade Henri Desgrange, La Roche-sur-Yon. The model makes La Roche VF the most likely outcome at 59%, with the full read 59% LA , 23% draw, 18% SAU.
La Roche VF rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1400. Recent form leans La Roche VF, 80% against 38%. Attacking output favors La Roche VF on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans La Roche VF at 77%; double chance reads La Roche VF or draw 82%, Saumur or draw 41%.
La Roche VF arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Nantes, W 3-2 @ Le Mans, W 2-0 @ Saint-Colomban Locminé, W 4-1 v Chauray.
Saumur are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Bayonne, D 0-0 v Montlouis, L 0-6 @ Dinan Léhon, D 2-2 v Lorient II.
La Roche VF hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: La Roche VF 4-0 Saumur.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
