Fréjus St-Raphaël v Saint-Priest: the model read
Fréjus St-Raphaël meet Saint-Priest in the National 2 - Group C group c - 27 at Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël. The model makes Saint-Priest the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% FRÉ, 30% draw, 35% SAI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 38%. Attacking output favors Saint-Priest on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Saint-Priest at 50%; double chance reads Fréjus St-Raphaël or draw 65%, Saint-Priest or draw 65%.
Fréjus St-Raphaël arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Grasse, L 0-1 @ Bobigny, L 0-1 v Toulon, D 0-0 v Saint-Priest.
Saint-Priest are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Monaco, L 1-4 @ Hyères, D 2-2 v Toulon, L 2-3 v St Maur Lusitanos.
Fréjus St-Raphaël hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fréjus St-Raphaël 0-0 Saint-Priest.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
