Fréjus St-Raphaël v Nimes: the model read
Fréjus St-Raphaël meet Nimes in the National 2 - Group C group c - 17 at Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël. The model makes Nimes the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 26% FRÉ, 30% draw, 44% NIM.
Nimes rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1431. Recent form leans Nimes, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Nimes on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Nimes at 63%; double chance reads Fréjus St-Raphaël or draw 56%, Nimes or draw 74%.
Fréjus St-Raphaël arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Grasse, L 0-1 @ Bobigny, L 0-1 v Toulon, D 0-0 v Saint-Priest.
Nimes are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Rodez, L 0-4 @ Nice, W 3-2 @ Limonest, W 3-0 v Istres.
Nimes hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fréjus St-Raphaël 0-2 Nimes.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
