Trofense v São João Ver: the model read
Trofense meet São João Ver in the Liga 3 regular season - 10 at Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 30% TRO, 36% draw, 35% SÃO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans São João Ver, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors São João Ver on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 14%. Draw no bet leans São João Ver at 54%; double chance reads Trofense or draw 65%, São João Ver or draw 70%.
Trofense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Academica, D 1-1 v Guimaraes B, D 0-0 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Mafra.
São João Ver are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ União Lamas, L 0-1 @ SC Braga, W 2-1 v Sanjoanense, W 2-1 @ Fafe.
Trofense hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Trofense 1-1 São João Ver.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
