Trofense v Amarante: the model read
Trofense meet Amarante in the Liga 3 regular season - 9 at Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa. The model makes Amarante the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 23% TRO, 34% draw, 43% AMA.
Amarante rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1420. Recent form leans Amarante, 74% against 38%. Attacking output favors Amarante on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Amarante at 65%; double chance reads Trofense or draw 57%, Amarante or draw 77%.
Trofense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Academica, D 1-1 v Guimaraes B, D 0-0 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Mafra.
Amarante are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Chaves, W 3-1 @ Guimaraes B, W 1-0 v União Santarém, D 0-0 @ Trofense.
Amarante hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Trofense 0-0 Amarante.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
