Orleans v Concarneau: the model read
Orleans meet Concarneau in the National 1 regular season - 29 at Stade de la Source, Orléans. The model makes Orleans the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% ORL, 32% draw, 28% CON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1547 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Orleans, 58% against 43%. Attacking output favors Orleans on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Orleans at 58%; double chance reads Orleans or draw 72%, Concarneau or draw 60%.
Orleans arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ RED Star FC 93, W 1-0 v Gobelins, L 0-1 @ Clermont Foot, L 2-3 @ Dijon.
Concarneau are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Laval, W 1-0 @ Guingamp, D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29, L 1-2 v Lorient.
Orleans hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orleans 1-1 Concarneau.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
