UD da Serra v Peniche: the model read
UD da Serra meet Peniche in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C group c - 25 at Campo da Portela, Santa Catarina da Serra. The model makes UD da Serra the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% UD , 30% draw, 28% PEN.
UD da Serra rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1431. Recent form leans UD da Serra, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors UD da Serra on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans UD da Serra at 60%; double chance reads UD da Serra or draw 72%, Peniche or draw 58%.
UD da Serra arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Samora Correir, W 3-1 v Peniche, L 0-2 @ Oliveira Hospital, D 1-1 @ Os Marialvas.
Peniche are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 10 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Lusitânia, L 1-3 @ UD da Serra, L 0-2 v Benfica Castelo Branco, L 2-5 @ Samora Correir.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UD da Serra 3-1 Peniche.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
