Pusamania Borneo's 7-1 victory over Malut United was decided inside the opening 13 minutes, where three quickfire goals effectively ended the contest before it could begin. The home side's 51% pre-match chance according to the Lemeister model was fully vindicated, as the actual margin of victory far exceeded the projected 3-1 scoreline, but it was the blistering start that truly defined the match. The Lemeister model had predicted a clear home advantage, and Pusamania Borneo delivered on that expectation with a ruthlessness that the projected scoreline could not capture.
M. Peralta opened the scoring in the 8th minute, finishing a move started by K. Obieta. The same combination struck again just three minutes later, this time with Caxambu providing the assist for Peralta's second. Before Malut United could regroup, J. Villa made it 3-0 in the 13th minute from K. Hirose's pass. The pattern continued in the 27th minute when K. Obieta turned scorer, converting after a lay-off from Peralta, and Obieta added his second of the match in the 58th minute from another Caxambu assist.
Malut United briefly stemmed the tide when F. Butuan scored from S. David's pass in the 78th minute, but any hope of a remarkable turnaround was extinguished within 60 seconds. M. Sihran restored the six-goal cushion immediately, scoring unassisted in the 79th minute. The scoring was completed in the 90th minute when Kaio Nunes netted from J. Villa's pass, though Kaio Nunes was later booked for a stoppage-time challenge.
The statistical picture, had it been captured, would almost certainly have underscored the depth of Pusamania Borneo's dominance. The home side converted seven of their eight goals from the listed attempts, a conversion rate that reflects both the quality of finishing from the named attackers and the service they received. M. Peralta's two goals and one assist, plus K. Obieta's two goals and one assist, represented the standout individual contributions. Caxambu also delivered two assists from open play, while J. Villa contributed a goal and an assist. For Malut United, S. David had the only assist, setting up F. Butuan's consolation, but the visitors created far too little to trouble the home defence over 90 minutes.
The match also featured a high number of substitutions, with Pusamania Borneo making five changes and Malut United using four, a sign that both managers rotated their squads deep into a contest that was effectively decided by the 27th minute. The home defence and the opposition defence went unrecorded in the available data, but the margin of victory suggests clear and sustained dominance from the home side.
The result strengthens Pusamania Borneo's position in the Liga 1 Regular Season with just one round remaining after this 34th fixture. The Lemeister model's projection of a 3-1 home victory underestimated the scale of the win, though it correctly identified Pusamania Borneo as the strong favourite. For Malut United, the heavy defeat is a significant setback to their season ambitions, leaving them to regroup before the final match of the regular campaign. The margin of victory will serve as a stark reminder of the gap that can open when a team loses control of a match in its opening exchanges.