Alemannia Aachen's 2-1 victory over FC Ingolstadt 04 was built on a far more convincing attacking performance, one whose statistical weight justified the win long before the final whistle. The visitors' expected goals of 2.18 against Ingolstadt's 0.63 told the clearest story: Aachen created the better chances with greater frequency, and while the scoreline stayed tight, the underlying numbers never suggested an upset was on the cards. The Lemeister model had given Alemannia a 52 per cent chance of winning, and the result fell in line with that pre-match read.
The goals arrived in a burst either side of half-time. F. Ademi opened the scoring for Alemannia Aachen in the 40th minute with a normal goal, unassisted. Ingolstadt responded quickly: three minutes later, M. Costly equalised, with J. Kugel providing the assist. That response lasted only until the 55th minute, when M. Schroers struck what proved to be the winner, assisted by M. Wagner. There were no penalties or own goals to complicate the narrative; all three were straightforward finishes from open play, though the data does not reveal how they were created.
The shot counts underlined Aachen's dominance. They attempted 19 total shots to Ingolstadt's nine, and 11 of those were on target, forcing the home goalkeeper into nine saves. Ingolstadt managed only three shots on goal. Aachen also controlled the territorial battle from set pieces, earning 13 corner kicks to Ingolstadt's three. Despite Ingolstadt holding a marginal 53 to 47 per cent advantage in ball possession and completing more accurate passes , 293 to 219 , their passing success rate of 75 per cent was only five points higher than Aachen's 70 per cent, and possession was not translating into danger.
Defensively, Aachen were disciplined, conceding only one yellow card to Ingolstadt's one , a 51st-minute booking for Dennis Kaygın , and committing 15 fouls to the home side's 13. The respective goalkeepers faced very different workloads. Kai Eisele of Ingolstadt was rated 8.0, a reflection of his nine saves under sustained pressure. At the other end, Aachen's goalkeeper needed only two saves from Ingolstadt's three shots on target, a relatively quiet afternoon that further illustrated the imbalance in attacking output.
Among the outfield players, Mika Schröers of Aachen earned a match rating of 7.9, the highest of any player on the pitch after the goalkeepers. Marcel Costly, who scored Ingolstadt's goal, was rated 7.7, level with Aachen's Jonas Oehmichen. Faton Ademi, the opening scorer, finished with 7.3, as did Marius Wegmann. For Ingolstadt, there were no other players among the top-rated six, underscoring how few individuals could match Aachen's collective influence.
In the context of the 3. Liga regular season, this was a valuable away win for Alemannia Aachen, who showed the clinical edge their expected goals suggested they deserved. Ingolstadt, despite a brief spell of parity in the first half, could not sustain pressure against a side that created chances far more efficiently. The result leaves Ingolstadt needing to address the defensive vulnerability that allowed 19 shots on their goal, while Aachen will take confidence from a performance that, statistically, was fully in control.
