Palmeiras v Chelsea: the model read
Palmeiras meet Chelsea in the FIFA Club World Cup quarter-finals at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Palmeiras, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Chelsea on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Palmeiras arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Gremio, L 2-3 @ LDU de Quito, W 2-0 v Sao Paulo, W 1-0 v LDU de Quito.
Chelsea are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Brentford, D 2-2 v Hull City, W 6-3 v Leeds, L 1-2 @ Arsenal.
Chelsea hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Palmeiras 1-2 Chelsea.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
