Canada Canada v Guatemala: the model read
Canada meet Guatemala in the CONCACAF Gold Cup quarter-finals at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Canada rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1456. Recent form leans Canada, 65% against 42%. Attacking output favors Canada on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Canada arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ South Africa, L 1-2 @ Switzerland, W 6-0 v Qatar.
Guatemala are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Ecuador, L 1-3 @ Czechia, L 0-7 @ Algeria, L 0-1 @ Canada.
Canada hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Canada 1-0 Guatemala.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
