Casa Sport v Guédiawaye: the model read
Casa Sport meet Guédiawaye in the Ligue 1 regular season - 29 at Stade Aline Sitoé Diatta, Ziguinchor. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% CAS, 37% draw, 30% GUÉ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Guédiawaye on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 19%, over 2.5 goals around 11%. Draw no bet leans Casa Sport at 52%; double chance reads Casa Sport or draw 70%, Guédiawaye or draw 67%.
Casa Sport arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v DSC, D 0-0 @ Jaraaf, W 1-0 v Pikine, W 3-0 @ Sonacos.
Guédiawaye are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Teungueth, W 2-0 @ Stade de Mbour, L 2-3 v Wally Daan, L 0-1 @ AJEL.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Casa Sport 1-1 Guédiawaye.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
