Emmen v Willem II: the model read
Emmen meet Willem II in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 29 at De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen. The model makes Willem II the most likely outcome at 55%, with the full read 19% EMM, 26% draw, 55% WIL.
Willem II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1662 to 1400. Recent form leans Willem II, 71% against 33%. Attacking output favors Willem II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Willem II at 74%; double chance reads Emmen or draw 45%, Willem II or draw 81%.
Emmen arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Heracles, L 2-3 @ Groningen, W 1-0 v De Graafschap, D 2-2 @ Roda.
Willem II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Quick Boys, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam, L 1-2 v FC Volendam.
Willem II hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Emmen 0-3 Willem II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
