Casa Sport v Jaraaf: the model read
Casa Sport meet Jaraaf in the Ligue 1 regular season - 26 at Stade Aline Sitoé Diatta, Ziguinchor. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 28% CAS, 43% draw, 29% JAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Casa Sport on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 6%, over 2.5 goals around 2%. Draw no bet leans Jaraaf at 50%; double chance reads Casa Sport or draw 71%, Jaraaf or draw 72%.
Casa Sport arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v DSC, D 0-0 @ Jaraaf, W 1-0 v Pikine, W 3-0 @ Sonacos.
Jaraaf are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ AS Camberene, D 0-0 v Casa Sport, W 3-0 v DSC, D 0-0 @ Pikine.
Jaraaf hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jaraaf 0-0 Casa Sport.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
