Scunthorpe v Chorley: the model read
Scunthorpe meet Chorley in the National League - North - Play-offs north promotion play-offs - semi-finals at Attis Arena, Scunthorpe. The model makes Scunthorpe the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% SCU, 30% draw, 24% CHO.
Scunthorpe rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Scunthorpe, 63% against 32%. Attacking output favors Scunthorpe on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Scunthorpe at 66%; double chance reads Scunthorpe or draw 76%, Chorley or draw 54%.
Scunthorpe arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 6-3 @ North Ferriby, L 0-2 @ Buxton, D 2-2 @ Spalding United, W 1-0 @ Skegness Town.
Chorley are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Trafford, L 0-3 v Accrington ST, D 0-0 v Altrincham, L 1-2 v Bury.
Scunthorpe hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Scunthorpe 4-2 Chorley.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
