Worthing v Maidstone Utd: the model read
Worthing meet Maidstone Utd in the National League - South - Play-offs south promotion play-offs - qualifying round at Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex. The model makes Maidstone Utd the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% WOR, 29% draw, 37% MAI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 71% against 78%. Attacking output favors Maidstone Utd on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Maidstone Utd at 53%; double chance reads Worthing or draw 63%, Maidstone Utd or draw 67%.
Worthing arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Brighton U21, D 1-1 @ Enfield Town, W 1-0 v Queens Park Rangers U21, D 1-1 @ Frome Town.
Maidstone Utd are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 19 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Brentwood Town, W 4-0 v Ashford United, W 3-1 @ Ramsgate, W 4-1 v Welling United.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
