Lebanon W v Iran W: the model read
Lebanon W meet Iran W in the Asian Cup Women - Qualification qualifying round - 4 at King Abdullah International Stadium, ʿAmmān (Amman). The model makes Lebanon W the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% LEB, 29% draw, 30% IRA.
Lebanon W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1454. Recent form leans Lebanon W, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Iran W on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Lebanon W at 57%; double chance reads Lebanon W or draw 70%, Iran W or draw 60%.
Lebanon W arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Singapore W, W 3-1 v Iran W, L 1-2 @ Bhutan W, L 0-4 v Jordan W.
Iran W are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 0 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Philippines W, L 0-4 v Australia W, L 0-3 @ South Korea W, L 0-1 @ Uzbekistan W.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Lebanon W 3-1 Iran W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
