Mexico Mexico v Costa Rica: the model read
Mexico meet Costa Rica in the CONCACAF Gold Cup group stage - 3 at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mexico, 70% against 55%. Attacking output favors Costa Rica on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.6 per match.
Mexico arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v England, W 2-0 v Ecuador, W 3-0 @ Czechia, W 1-0 v South Korea.
Costa Rica are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ England, L 1-3 @ Colombia, L 0-5 v Iran, D 2-2 @ Jordan.
Mexico hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Mexico 0-0 Costa Rica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
