Mauá U20 v Guarani U20: the model read
Mauá U20 meet Guarani U20 in the Paulista - U20 1st phase - 14 at Estádio Municipal Pedro Benedetti, Mauá, São Paulo. The model makes Guarani U20 the most likely outcome at 53%, with the full read 18% MAU, 29% draw, 53% GUA.
Guarani U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1400. Recent form leans Guarani U20, 73% against 35%. Attacking output favors Guarani U20 on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Guarani U20 at 74%; double chance reads Mauá U20 or draw 47%, Guarani U20 or draw 82%.
Mauá U20 arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ituano U20, L 1-2 @ Guarani U20, W 2-1 v Tanabi SP U20, L 0-6 @ Sfera U20.
Guarani U20 are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Osasco Audax U20, W 2-1 v Mauá U20, W 2-0 v Sfera U20, L 0-4 @ Palmeiras U20.
Guarani U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guarani U20 2-1 Mauá U20.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output