Netherlands W v France W: the model read
Netherlands W meet France W in the UEFA Championship - Women group stage - 3 at St. Jakob-Park, Basel. The model makes France W the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 26% NET, 27% draw, 47% FRA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans France W, 80% against 68%. Attacking output favors France W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans France W at 64%; double chance reads Netherlands W or draw 53%, France W or draw 74%.
Netherlands W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Poland W, L 2-3 @ Republic of Ireland W, D 1-1 @ France W, W 2-1 v France W.
France W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Republic of Ireland W, W 2-0 @ Poland W, D 1-1 v Netherlands W, L 1-2 @ Netherlands W.
France W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: France W 1-1 Netherlands W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
