Madbacadda v Gasco: the model read
Madbacadda meet Gasco in the Somali Premier League regular season - 22 at Muqdisho Stadium, Mogadishu. The model makes Gasco the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 29% MAD, 28% draw, 43% GAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gasco, 28% against 5%. Attacking output favors Gasco on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Gasco at 59%; double chance reads Madbacadda or draw 57%, Gasco or draw 71%.
Madbacadda arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 6 scored and 34 conceded. Recent results: L 2-6 v Gasco, L 1-4 @ Heegan, L 0-10 v Mogadishu City, L 2-8 @ Raadsan.
Gasco are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 11 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: W 6-2 @ Madbacadda, D 1-1 @ Jeenyo, L 0-5 v Horseed, L 1-3 @ Dekedaha.
Gasco hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Madbacadda 2-6 Gasco.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output