Chapecoense-sc v Botafogo SP: the model read
Chapecoense-sc meet Botafogo SP in the Serie B regular season - 32 at Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina. The model makes Botafogo SP the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 29% CHA, 32% draw, 39% BOT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Chapecoense-sc on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Botafogo SP at 58%; double chance reads Chapecoense-sc or draw 61%, Botafogo SP or draw 71%.
Chapecoense-sc arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Flamengo, L 0-2 @ Bahia, W 2-1 @ Gremio, W 3-0 v Avai.
Botafogo SP are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Londrina, D 3-3 @ Sport Recife, W 3-1 v Avai, L 0-1 v CRB.
Chapecoense-sc hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Chapecoense-sc 1-1 Botafogo SP.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
