Chapecoense-sc v Avai: the model read
Chapecoense-sc meet Avai in the Serie B regular season - 28 at Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina. The model makes Avai the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 31% CHA, 30% draw, 39% AVA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors Avai on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Avai at 56%; double chance reads Chapecoense-sc or draw 61%, Avai or draw 69%.
Chapecoense-sc arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Flamengo, L 0-2 @ Bahia, W 2-1 @ Gremio, W 3-0 v Avai.
Avai are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v America Mineiro, D 1-1 @ São Bernardo, W 2-0 v Nautico Recife, L 1-3 @ Botafogo SP.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chapecoense-sc 3-0 Avai.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
