Zambia v Comoros: the model read
Zambia meet Comoros in the Africa Cup of Nations group stage - 2 at Stade Mohammed V, Casablanca.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Comoros, 39% against 15%. Attacking output favors Comoros on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.6 per match.
Zambia arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Argentina, L 0-3 v Morocco, D 0-0 v Comoros, D 1-1 @ Mali.
Comoros are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Equatorial Guinea, L 1-2 @ Morocco U23, L 0-1 @ Kazakhstan, D 0-0 @ Namibia.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Zambia 0-0 Comoros.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
